Studies

Longitudinal research on emotion, language, and interaction in public discourse.

Foundations (signals)

Core price and exchange-rate series that anchor later analysis.

Study 2

Brent oil price as an exogenous context signal

A baseline study illustrating event-anchored windows on a macroeconomic series.

Oil

Study 3

USD→Toman (open market) as a socio-economic signal

Open-market USD/toman rate as a lived economic pressure indicator.

Study 4

Oil and USD/toman: dual macroeconomic signals

Brent oil price (left axis) and USD→toman open-market rate (right axis) overlaid for comparative context.

OilFX

Context (timelines)

Reference timelines for events and long-range price context.

Study 11

Historical events timeline (1900–present)

A reference timeline of major political, economic, and geopolitical events used as context throughout SignalMap.

Events

Study 5

Global conflict and economic shocks (1900–present)

A long-range view of global conflicts and structural shocks contextualized against gold (monetary stress) and oil (energy/geopolitical stress) prices.

OilGoldEvents

Study 16

Oil market reaction to geopolitical tensions

Monitor recent oil price changes during periods of geopolitical stress. High-resolution Brent data with event markers for military escalation, sanctions, OPEC decisions, and major shocks.

OilEvents

Burden & adjustment (methods)

Inflation-adjusted and PPP-based measures of economic burden.

Study 6

Real oil prices and global economic burden

Oil prices adjusted for inflation to examine long-term economic burden rather than market signaling.

OilEvents

Study 7

Oil price burden in Iran (PPP-based)

An estimate of the domestic economic burden of oil prices in Iran using purchasing power parity (PPP) rather than market exchange rates.

OilEvents

Study 13

Real Minimum Wage in Iran

Nominal and CPI-adjusted (real) minimum wage in Iran. Emphasizes purchasing power and measurement limits.

Wage

Comparisons & constraints

Cross-country comparisons and capacity under constraints.

Study 8

Iran and Turkey: comparative PPP oil burden

Side-by-side comparison of PPP-adjusted oil burden in Iran and Turkey. Both series use identical methodology for contextual comparison.

Oil

Study 9

Iran oil export capacity: price and volume

A comparative view of global oil prices and Iran's estimated crude export capacity under constraints.

OilEvents

Study 14

Major oil exporters: production levels

Crude oil production for Saudi Arabia, Russia, and Iran. Annual data in million barrels per day.

OilEvents

Study 12

Dual Exchange Rates in Iran

Official vs open-market USD/IRR.

Audience dynamics (growth & networks)

Follower growth, simple growth models, and network prototypes.

Study 10

Follower growth dynamics over time

An exploratory analysis of historical follower growth using simple growth models.

Growth

Study 15

Oil trade network

Network view of crude oil trade between major exporting and importing countries. Nodes represent countries; edges show directional trade flows (thousand barrels per day).

OilTrade

Study 17